Weather Update with Meteorologist Brian Shields

Jul 1, 2024

Weather Update with Meteorologist Brian Shields

General Overview

  • Speaker: Brian Shields, Meteorologist
  • Topics Covered: Hurricane Barrel, Tropical Storm Chris, Caribbean weather updates, Island-specific impacts and preparations
  • Target Audience: People in the Caribbean, specifically St Vincent, Grenadines, Grenada, Jamaica, Cayman Islands, etc.

Main Topics Discussed

Hurricane Barrel

  • Current Status: Powerful hurricane impacting the Caribbean
  • Path & Impact: Direct hit on St Vincent, Grenadines, Grenada, and Tobago; wobble to the south, sparing Dominica, Martinique, St Lucia, Barbados
  • Conditions Expected: Strong tropical storm conditions, possible hurricane conditions

Tropical Storm Chris

  • Formation: Briefly formed overnight
  • Impact: Heavier rain into Mexico
  • Status: Monitoring for further updates

Island-by-Island Impact

St Vincent and the Grenadines & Grenada

  • Core Impact: Eye wall leading to worst weather conditions
  • Expected Winds: 145 km/h (90 mph), higher gusts possible
  • Timeframe: Late morning through the afternoon

Tobago

  • Current Status: Tropical storm conditions due to wobble south
  • Expected Weather: Gusty winds, rain

Jamaica & Cayman Islands

  • Jamaica: Preparations for either tropical storm or hurricane conditions by Wednesday
  • Cayman Islands: Monitoring for changes; expected impacts around Thursday

Haiti & Dominican Republic

  • Status: Tropical storm watches in effect
  • Path: Core staying south, but heavier rain and storm conditions expected
  • Unique Concern: Increased risk of flooding

Future Path

  • Wednesday: Jamaica & Cayman Islands to experience various degrees of storm impacts
  • Thursday onwards: Impact on Biz, Mexico; storm system monitored for wind shear-induced weakening

Wind Shear & Gradual Weakening

  • Western Caribbean: Increased wind shear expected; possible decrease in storm strength

Weather Models & Predictions

  • Models: Indicate gradual weakening but still predicting strong storm/tropical storm conditions
  • Potential Changes: Continuous monitoring required due to variability

Waters and Temperature Concerns

  • Current Water Temps: 29 degrees C (84 F), higher than usual, fueling storm strength

Regional Forecasts

  • Island-Specific Updates: Dominica, Martinique, St Lucia experiencing better conditions; weather moving away
  • Eastern Caribbean: Potential for increased rain due to following system
  • Mexico and Central America: Increased risk of flooding and stronger rains
  • Northern Caribbean: Similar tropical storm preparations

Action & Recommendations

  • Immediate Preparations: For Jamaica, Cayman Islands, Biz, some of Mexico
  • Common Sense Preps: Prioritize safety; prepare early due to limited reaction time

Additional Notes

  • Community Engagement: Encourages comments for updates on local conditions
  • Helping Each Other: Emphasis on community support and kindness in sharing information

Conclusion

  • Tracking & Updates: Continued monitoring of Hurricane Barrel and other tropical systems
  • Community Involvement: Importance of shared information and preparedness
  • Safety Emphasis: Prioritize immediate and smart preparations