Transcript for:
USD/CAD Trade Analysis and Strategies

payouts from funded prop firms passing challenges and catching trades that's what you're seeing on the screen right now from members in the living of charts Discord group easing from my trade call outs this video breaks down my complete top down analysis on the USD card trade I sent it to the Discord group enjoyed living off charts private mentorship episode 4 aligning yourself with the institutional order flow and day trading intricacies now this is going to be based around a uh USD card call out that we gave in the Discord group as you guys know um yeah so if you guys are watching this on the YouTube or any other social this is actually a private video meant for the private group but I'm sharing it here with you guys so take notes yeah so what do you see here on your chart is the three trade ideas we called in the Discord group um trade number one right here we actually called this low here that it would uh expand from here however Tom was in the live stream uh calling this right here so trade number one called here trade number two called right here and trade number three called here again once again in the live stream so that's what we're breaking down in this video and yeah let's get to it all right so the foundation and the basis of this video is going to be offset accumulation and reaccumulation if bullish so what is offset accumulation offset accumulation is a stop run on Stell stops below the marketplace to drive price higher to buy stops resting above the marketplace we look for accumulation of sell stops when we are anticipating higher prices cell stops resting above a key higher time frame discount pdra are even more significant what is reaccumulation reaccumulation is the impulse price swing that occurs from a retracement after an offset accumulation which is a run on Cell stops we want to position ourselves in a reaccumulation phase from the higher time frame to the low time frame by doing this we confirm that we are on the correct side of the institutional order float diagram here offset accumulation reaccumulation all low right here could be in the form of a previous day week month low could be a separate price swing low could just be an older low increases probabilities if there's a discount key PD right here below the low however we run the low accumulating all these cell stops that is offset accumulation impulse price swing occurs after the offset accumulation this is key this is institutional sponsorship coming into the market confirming this as offset accumulation once we have that impulse price swing we wait for a retracement into discount discount petate breaker FG water blob reaccumulation occurs at the discount PD for another impulse price ring so the IDE idea is to position ourselves with a reaccumulation phase from the higher time frame to the lower time frame bearish scenario offset distribution and redistribution what is offset distribution offset distribution is a stop run on buy stops above the marketplace to syn price lower to sell stops resting below the marketplace we look for distribution after buy stops have been Riden when we are anticipating lower prices by stof resting below a heat higher time frame PD are even more significant now what is redistribution redistribution is the impulse price swing that occurs from a retracement after an offset distribution run on by stops we want to position ourselves in a redistribution phase from the higher time frame to the lower time frame positioning ourselves in a redistribution phase top down high time frame to lower time frame confirms we are on the correct side of the institutional order flow diagram here old high previous day high previous week high previous month high or a separate price swing High We accumulate the buy stops above that KY time frame uh bearish speed right here above the buy stops increases probabilities impulse price swing Breakin Market structure this impulse price swing confirms institutional sponsorship coming into the market we wait for a retracement into a premium PD this premium PD is redistribution we want to do this top down to confirm on the correct side of the institutional orderflow as mentioned before and we look to write the next impulse swing down now what you're looking at your chart right here is an orderflow sequence how we confirm we in a buy program and how we confirm we are in a sell program so if we are in a buy program we're going to have the monthly weekly daily 4our or bullish if we are in a sell program we're going to have the monthly weekly daily 4our all bearish each one of these right here would be in a bullish scenario what is that bullish scenario as mentioned before you would be in a reaccumulation phase from top down the monthly weekly daily and 4 hour to confirm you are on the correct side of institutional bullish order flow now if we are bearish we're going to have a monthly weekly daily and for hour in a accumulation phase to confirm we are bearish anything below the 4H hour is an execution time frame you cannot prob water flow on anything lower than a 4H hour so anything below it is an execution time frame now looking at the USD CAD chart here this is based off this is where we call the Longs this candle right here last week we call the Longs here in the Discord group on the higher time frame this is a monthly shot offset accumulation occurs below and all low it's a separate price swing in this case once we have that offset accumulation we see price move high with an Impulse price swing we see institutional sponsorship com into the market with this large displacement higher for Value Gap then we see a retracement down into discount running on a little low here as well once we have that retracement we look for reaccumulation to occur price moving higher here now zooming into that monthly candle that's this candle right here we're in a reaccumulation phase on the monthly keep that in mind now on a daily chart we have a discount low here to a premium High here 50% is right about right around here anything below is a discount Market we have a order block here valid order block why it's in discount first of all it's in a reaccumulation phase from a higher time frame and it's a down Clos candle as we run liquidity and reject high so valid order block here we s an all low formed here right above the key High time frame discount P rate that's significant price runs that low offset accumulation now on The Daily so we've had offset accumulation and this actually here is the reaccumulation phase on the monthly and now within that reaccumulation phase on the monthly we're seeing an offset accumulation on The Daily price trading higher here and price retracing fair value Gap here this would be reaccumulation on the daily you can see that right here so reaccumulation on The Daily now while we're in a reaccumulation phase of the monthly this is how you probe order flow and trade with the order flow if that 20-day look back for day trading bullish buy program we're going to be focusing on a buy program for this uh teaching because that was the trade idea we called in the Discord group and this is a no hindsight course if you're bearish you would just invert everything mentioned here anyway back to the bullish buy program from the previous day of your trade idea you count back 20 days looking back determine the high and low of that 20-day range we'll be buying in discount or at equilibrium locate and annotate the bullish pdas in discount a swing high must be broken through in the past 20 days we wait for a previous day low to be rated and then once that previous day low is traded we target previous day highs within that last 20 days as a draw in liquidity and a final objective being the 20day high now let's look at this right here this day right here this candle right here is the day we call the Longs on USD C the first day we called it here and here now if this is the day we're going to start trading which it was we're going to start counting back the previous days from the day before our trade which would be this candle right here so this candle right here would be day number one so let's count back number one 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 So within the previous 20 days what is the highest high that would be right here and what is the lowest low that would be right here that is your premium and discount range as a day trader so as you can see here premium discount that's the range now going off what I just explained premium above here discount below here offset accumulation here into a keyp ray a swing high must be broken we have that here displacement retracement here which is the daily charts reaccumulation phase where we have located a discount PD now we have to have a previous day low run as mentioned here in discount of the 20 days before we can look for higher prices which is what occurred here and this is where we call the Longs as well is here which you can notice here interestingly the bodies are respecting and these large parab parabolic price swings occurring from the 50 not random right now looking at a 4our chart here this is that daily FG the reaccumulation phase and the target was up here at these highs here now there's a reason for this there's a very strong reason for this and is because there's exact equal highs now there's relative equal highs here on this chart however they're not perfectly exact and exact equal Highs are a very strong draw on liquidity now I've done something here yeah I've taken out the Wicks from the candles now this is something I've taught in the Discord group this is something they know and I've taught it well I've not taught it in depth and I'm going to go more in depth for them in there but that's only for the Discord group however I'll I'm going to teach here as well what I taught the Discord group over here we have exact equal highs that's this here and this here without the bodies they're exact this makes it very very significant for the algorithm to seek liquidity above these highs now when we're trading and we're looking for draws on liquidity and we already have our bias to trade higher we can take out the Wicks of the candles to look for a very obvious magnet in price which would be exactly equal highs now exact equal highs cannot be used as one candle and the very next candle which you can see here you can see here you can see here it's very prevalent we need to use it as two separate price swings two separate price swings that's price string number one here and then there's a second price string here that's two separate price strings when you have exact equal highs with two separate price Rings it increases the likelihood of price drawing up to that level putting back the weeks here that's these highs here the bodies would be here and here now keeping in mind that old uh accumulation here offset accumulation impulse price swing that's this price swing from this high from this low sorry to this high price starts to trade lower there's a premium discount low here to a premium High here price traced around 50% this was called in the group by the OT Trader you can see right here this low to this High looked for 50% before longs to this High which would be the ifda 20-day High that's 50% that OT called is right around here now when we drop into that 50% level here we can see in on an hourly chart and on a 4H hour here we can see an offset accumulation take place so now we have gone from an offset accumulation to a reaccumulation phase on the monthly to the Daily and hour on a 4H hour chart right here zooming into the 1 hour here that offset accumulation takes place we see a slight move higher and we start calling Longs here these Longs here will called by OT in the live stream right here as it was printing live high probability here as we're in a reaccumulation phase on both the monthly weekly and daily however on the hourly we have a offset accumulation here impulse price swing and then retracement lower here Longs are called here as well frtiz the offset accumulation impulse price ring and reaccumulation and we can see that here so let's zoom into this chart here this is a screenshot from the Discord group this low right here is where we anticipated higher prices to come in for USD CAD with the foundation of what we just explained previously and and as explained here continuing with the Longs on USD CAD we called yesterday on stream at the low of the day would like to see structure form after running this low for today's expansion so we run this low here Long's called here impulse price swing retracement Longs called here anticipating another impulse price swing price starts to trade higher here now OT is in the live stream for this one right here calling more Longs back impulse price ring taking us to those exact equal highs putting some lipstick on the chart here to clear it up offset accumulation here impulse price ring discount low premium high price traded trades back into discount re accumulating at a discount P rate in this case it's a bullish order block now to confirm our USD CAD analysis for bullishness we need to have the found Foundation agree with us that Foundation is the US doll and that's right here now this is a call out from the Discord group dxy key level for Longs I will be watching this as we approach the daily order block as always I will update the chat and OT will be live streaming which he did now this order block here set this stage for Longs on USD card and let's break that down so on the dollar Index we have a discount low here and a premium High here this is 50% anything below is a discount Market we see an order block here in discount it's a key level why is it a key level we're bullish we're in reaccumulation Phase 50% discount sell stops resting right above this discount PD key level now on the majors last week the majors consisting of Euro US D pound USD GBP USD and the USD cat which is the Longs Rec called while everyone else was in Euro USD and GBP USD catching a very small bearish move which you know what they were profitable and you know good for them however we caught the largest expansion by far wasn't even remotely close now how did I call that why did I call USD CAD why did I ignore GBP USD and why did I ignore Euro USD and that comes down to the U uh the Canadian dollar Futures analysis that I did so a little bit of relative strength teaching here we have a premium High here and a discount low here 50% is right above here we see price being quite choppy accumulating and then around the 1st of July which is a new portal open in hint price starts to trade higher trades higher into that key higher time frame premium PDR with a buy side liquidity pool resting right below it we take the stops here price starts to trade High into that key High time frame key level right here with stops resting just below it by stops so offset distribution here we trade down bullish for Value Gap here traded through leaving a bearish fair value Gap here institutional sponsorship coming into the market we can see a offset distribution then a retracement back into this inverse fair value Gap here for redistribution lower so the bearish scenario here opposing to USD cat and at this High here and this High here we can see an smt with USD can so an smt with currency Futures and the Forex pair and okay so I'm not going to go deeper into that for uh the public however you can do your own studies on that now we have a uh well right here we call the shorts here and here on the currency Futures which led to the Longs called in this candle here and this candle here on USD card aiming for this Lo and that was the complete breakdown and from the foundation to the actual execution and to Tom's live streams calling everything live as it's printing this was the foundation the backbone to all of that so I hope you guys enjoyed this video this breakdown this teaching by me if you did you know like And subscribe and I'll keep posting more with these yeah all right guys have a good day