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Understanding West-Russia Relations and Conflicts
Sep 27, 2024
Lecture Notes: The West's Relations with Russia
Historical Context
Post-Soviet Era
: Marked by Russia's annexation of Crimea and support for separatists in Ukraine, leading to instability.
Early Relations
: Fear and suspicion from the West towards the USSR since 1917.
Communist Ideology
: Initiated by Bolsheviks, aimed at destroying capitalist class.
Territorial Expansion
: USSR's creation of a buffer zone in Eastern Europe.
Cold War Dynamics
Allied Cooperation
: US and USSR cooperated during WWII to defeat Nazi Germany.
Iron Curtain
: Division of Europe into Soviet and Western spheres.
Military Alliances
: Warsaw Pact vs. NATO.
Nuclear Arms Race
: Both sides developed nuclear weapons, leading to Cold War tensions.
Collapse of the Soviet Union
Economic Stagnation
: Led to the USSR's dissolution in 1991.
Political Changes
: Rise of ethnic and economic pressures, fall of the Berlin Wall.
Transition to Capitalism
: Russia's turbulent shift from state-controlled to free-market economy.
Rise of Putin
Background
: Former KGB officer became president in 2000.
Economic Growth
: Boosted by oil and gas sector revenues.
Political Repression
: Crackdown on political rivals and suppression of democratic institutions.
Control of Media
: State-controlled television and oligarch proxies.
Foreign Policy and Regional Influence
Nationalism and Military Power
: Growing nationalism and resurgence of military power.
Conflicts in Georgia and Ukraine
: Military actions in Georgia (2008) and annexation of Crimea (2014).
Western Influence
: Resistance to NATO and EU expansion.
International Conflicts and Sanctions
MH17 Incident
: Malaysian Airlines jet shot down over Ukraine, leading to international condemnation.
Economic Sanctions
: Imposed by US and EU, targeting Russian banks and energy companies.
Dependency on Energy Exports
: Russia's economy heavily reliant on oil and gas.
Global Relations
Middle East Involvement
: Russia's role in Syria, support for Assad, and alliance with Iran.
China Partnership
: Energy agreements with China as a strategic pivot.
US-Russia Cooperation
: Limited by conflicting interests and sanctions, but shared goals in nuclear disarmament.
Future Prospects
Challenges
: Economic decline, domestic unrest, and limited international alliances.
Strategic Goals
: Reassert Russian influence in former Soviet regions.
Western Responses
: Calls for energy independence and cautious diplomatic approaches.
Conclusion
Long-Term Implications
: The conflict in Ukraine will continue to affect Russia-West relations.
US Policy
: Future administrations expected to maintain a hardline stance against Russia.
Global Order
: Russia's attempt to redefine its role as a separate entity in a multipolar world.
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