Avoid Overvalued Fantasy Football Players

Aug 22, 2024

Fantasy Football: Players to Let Your League Mates Draft

Introduction

  • Focus on players that will be overvalued by your league mates in fantasy football.
  • Discussing six players to avoid drafting this season.

1. Xavier Worthy (Kansas City Chiefs)

  • Fastest 40-yard dash time ever recorded at the combine (4.21).
  • Predicted to be overvalued due to highlight clips from training camp.
  • Weight: 165 pounds; concerns about his ability to handle press coverage.
  • Competing for targets with:
    • Hollywood Brown
    • Mecole Hardman
    • Travis Kelce
    • Rashi Rice
  • Prediction: Likely to finish with around 650 receiving yards, making him a risky draft pick.
  • Recommended bet: 8.5 receiving yards on Underdog Fantasy.

2. Saquon Barkley (Philadelphia Eagles)

  • Currently a top 10 pick in most drafts but should be avoided.
  • Concerns about his decline in explosiveness and elusiveness since his rookie year.
  • Philadelphia's offense may not significantly boost his fantasy value due to:
    • Jalen Hurts' running style impacting goal-line carries.
    • Kenny Gainwell's role as a pass-catching back.
  • Despite a strong situation, Saquon's true ceiling may be limited.

3. Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers)

  • Draft position is likely overvalued; recent coaching changes focus on a more run-heavy offense.
  • Loss of key offensive weapons (Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, etc.).
  • Recent performance: Outside the top 12 quarterbacks in fantasy points per game for the last two seasons.
  • Current passing yard line is 3600; a significant drop from previous seasons.

4. Sam LaPorta (Detroit Lions)

  • Overvalued in drafts; currently going too early compared to other tight ends.
  • Coming off a strong rookie season, but ADP is too high.
  • Recommendations: Consider waiting and drafting players like Trey McBride or Travis Kelce instead.

5. Calvin Ridley (Tennessee Titans)

  • Going too high in drafts with a current fifth-round ADP.
  • Concerns about target share with DeAndre Hopkins and new offensive schemes.
  • Potential issues with quarterback Will Levis and competition for targets from other players.
  • Consider waiting for better value in later rounds.

6. Nick Chubb (Cleveland Browns)

  • Coming back from a serious multi-ligament knee injury.
  • Concerns about age (29) and previous injuries affecting performance.
  • Likely to be irrelevant early in the season, if at all.

Conclusion

  • Avoid drafting these six players to enhance your fantasy team's potential.
  • Injury optimism can derail fantasy drafts; be cautious.