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Butterfly Effect L17: One Day at a Time 3.5
Jul 4, 2024
Lecture Notes
Overview
Discussed levels and price testing on different exchanges (Binance, BitMEX, etc.).
Emphasis on understanding and using actual levels rather than prices.
Mentioned gaps in the market and their perceived misconceptions.
Highlighted the importance of not losing money in trading.
Discussed the progression of knowledge and income in day trading.
Levels and Price Testing
Example Level
: 61.84 on Binance.
Comparison with XBT on BitMEX:
Find the equivalent level on the BitMEX chart.
Use of time stamps to find levels.
Examined the 3-minute range for comparison.
Personal preference: author prefers using 61.84 regardless of exchange differences.
Gaps and Misconceptions in the Market
Common misconception: gaps make trading difficult.
Clarification: gaps (also called windows) do not affect the author's strategy.
Emphasis on precise predictions despite gaps.
The term "windows" was used historically (e.g., 1940s).
People tend to create unnecessary terms to understand market phenomena.
Trading Strategy and Mindset
Focus on not losing money rather than making money.
Building a foundation to prevent losses:
Equip traders to never lose a cent.
Start small and build over time.
Advice for mentees:
Test and perfect trades without the pressure to make money.
Avoid losing bank accounts and bankrolls.
Making informed, high-quality trades over time.
Knowledge and Income Progression
The pathway of knowledge and income in day trading:
Knowledge grows incrementally (staircase model).
Income remains flat until a significant level of understanding is achieved.
At a certain point, income can increase sharply or decrease if not prepared.
The necessity to avoid quitting before reaching full potential.
Learning to make precise trades and managing risks effectively.
For example, small strategic trades leading to significant profits over time.
Emphasis on reducing risk and avoiding entering bad positions.
Examples of greed and strategic positioning.
Final Thoughts
Importance of perseverance in trading.
The goal is to master the trading strategy before expecting significant income.
Once mastered, executing trades becomes almost effortless.
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Full transcript