Lecture on Distribution Cycles

Introduction

• Discuss cycles generally, focusing on distribution.
• Review all lessons tied to the concept.

Key Concepts of Distribution Cycles

Distribution

• Begin by looking for the break of long-term trends.
• Initial steps involve finding the end of distribution:
  • Steps: Downtrend, find support, break the downtrend, attack the valley top.

Timeframes and Trend Analysis

• As time progresses, cycles create larger trends with bigger points.
• Analyzing cycles involves understanding timeframes:
  • Example: Trend from April moving forward.
• Trends within trends create swings and breaks.

Fractals and Missing Moves

• Importance of not focusing too much on fractals or smaller timeframes:
  • Possibility of missing the strength in a move.
• Example with a daily and a four-hour trend.

Advanced Trend and Cycle Analysis

GTO as a Case Study

• Trends trying to break need confirmations over days.
• Importance of weekly closures for stronger moves.

Identifying Trends

• Recognize trends by observing breakout confirmations and failures.
• Observe movements through daily, weekly closures, and confirmations.

Accumulation vs. Distribution

• Distribution involves breaking larger moves and observing inverse levels.
• Accumulation confirms that larger time frames will dictate the size of moves.

Hidden Levels

Concept of Hidden Levels

• Hidden levels are key to understanding target points.
• Differ from swing highs or valleys as they are more advanced concepts.

Application in Trend Analysis

• Recognize and interpret hidden levels to predict moves.
  • Hidden levels offer insight into expected back attacks and trend breaks.

Cycles of Distribution: Practical Examples

Visualizing Moves

• Use charts to visualize and predict distribution and accumulation cycles.
• Key markers include support, resistance, breakout points.

Trends and Conquests

• Current market requires identifying and drawing key large-scale trends.

Conclusion and Resources

Community Engagement

• Encouragement to join trading communities for continued learning:
  • Patreon, Discord, Reddit.

Contribution and Support

• Support through donations to continue receiving free content.