Transcript for:
Trump's Reelection: Approval Ratings Analysis

this video is brought to you by Ground News when Donald Trump was reelected to the White House for a second term in November it was an unprecedented victory trump became the first US president since 1892 to be elected to a non-consecutive second term and the first Republican ever to do so he was also surprisingly popular despite a long history of welldocumented controversies Trump came into office with a positive net approval rating and his numbers were in a better place than they were in his first term but now after 3 months in office several recent polls suggest that Trump 2.0 is rapidly losing support and is now less popular than he was in his first term so in this video we'll dive into the latest survey data look at Trump's polling on the economy specifically and try to explain why Trump 2.0 to is even more unpopular than Trump 1.0 never miss an episode and always feel in the loop by subscribing and ringing the bell so let's get straight into the data when he came into office Trump's approval numbers were actually pretty good he had a net positive approval rating that is more Americans approved of him than disapproved and he was more popular than he had been in his first term his approval ratings tended slowly downwards over the first few months of his presidency but this is pretty common presidential approval ratings often fall after the so-called honeymoon period and the decline wasn't too dramatic however a slew of polls have been published in the past couple of days suggesting that Trump's approval ratings are now plummeting the most recent YUGV poll for instance showed that while 41% of Americans approve of Trump's presidency a majority of 54% now disapprove implying a net approval rating of minus13 with especially bad numbers with young voters pew polling released on Wednesday was even more damning giving Trump a net approval rating of minus 19 even the most recent Fox News poll puts Trump at minus 11 down nine points on last month the worst of any president at this point in their term trump's polling gets even worse when you look at the economy specifically trump 2.0 is polling significantly worse than Trump 1.0 on the economy with Trump's net economic approval having hit its lowest point ever an economist Yuggov poll released earlier this week showed Trump's net approval on the economy having fallen to minus12 a 24-point collapse since January and well below the lowest levels of Trump's first term moreover 52% of Americans think the US economy is getting worse under Trump 2.0 with the figure having soared from 37% after Trump's inauguration that said the share who think it's getting better also increased from 19% in late January to 25% in midappril it's interesting that both the trend lines for getting worse and getting better are rising at the same time as history and logic suggests that you'd expect one to fall when the other rises so this could be a symptom of quite how polarized the American electorate has become for context as the FT's data journalist John Burn Murdoch has highlighted Americans are becoming more divided on the economy with Republican voters generally thinking it's doing well when their parties in office and vice versa the US is unlike other countries here as in Western Europe for instance there tends to be a consensus on the economy's performance even between voters of different parties nonetheless consumer confidence in the US economy now is also lower than at any point during Trump's first term with even Republicans less optimistic about the economy under Trump 2.0 than at any point during Trump's first term apart from his election loss in December 2020 this is in large part because Trump's policies this time around namely his global tariffs and sweeping cuts to federal spending have been far more disruptive than people expected for example despite Trump's emphasis during the campaign on inflation and egg prices Trump's tariffs look likely to increase prices in the short term assuming he actually keeps them in place and the inflationary risks could be exacerbated yet further if Trump somehow forces the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at the same time Trump's tariffs and the damage they've done to business and consumer confidence have led the IMF to predict a significant slowdown for the US economy in its report this week giving it a 40% chance of recession and cutting its growth forecast from 2.7% to 1.8% the biggest downgrade for any advanced economy trump's tariffs and the uncertainty surrounding them have also tanked the stock market with the S&P 500 down about 10% from its January peak unsurprisingly this prospective combination of weak growth and high inflation isn't popular with voters polls suggest more Americans 48% think Trump's tariffs are overall harmful to the US economy than the share 38% who think they're overall helpful again though the party divergence is astounding 86% of Democrats compared to 14% of Republicans think Trump's tariffs will harm the US economy in the long term while 74% of Republicans compared to just 9% of Democrats think tariffs will help the economy this is why according to data journalist G elliot Morris and Adam Carlson Trump's net approval ratings on trade and inflation have fallen to minus15 and minus 18 respectively with immigration apparently the only area where Trump had a net positive approval at plus five and last week Democrats like Gavin Newsome were cautioning against focusing too heavily on immigration and the Abbrego Garcia case specifically because they thought it would be more politically effective to zero in on the economy however the most recent polls from earlier this week suggest that Trump is now in the red even on immigration a Reuters Ipsos poll published on Tuesday for instance found that Trump had a net approval rating of minus1 when it came to his handling of immigration a Yugov poll published at roughly the same time put it at minus5 a 10-point drop in just a week this is sort of unsurprising while voters were generally positive about Trump's immigration policies they were always less supportive of specific policies polling from late March for instance found that unsurprisingly only 26% of voters support deporting immigrants to El Salvadorian jails without due process compared to 61% who don't there are echoes of Trump's first term here when his hardline position on immigration backfired electorally once the media started focusing specifically on his family separation policy which was generally unpopular perhaps the silver lining here for Trump is that somehow Democrats are still less popular than Republicans at the moment with congressional Democrats looking at a net favorability of minus23 nonetheless the trajectory clearly isn't good for Trump here and he'll hope things at least begin to turn around before the 2026 midterms there's a lot to unpack here though with this story reported on by more than 72 sources interestingly we can see that of those 29% came from left-leaning outlets while 31% came from outlets that lean right looking at the headlines you can also see that left-leaning outlets tend to describe Trump's polling decline with more dramatic language like Trump bleeding support and Americans sour on Trump while right-leading outlets tend to describe it in softer terms like Trump's popularity slumps Trump is losing ground and Americans not loving Trump's economic agenda we're able to do that because of our sponsor Ground News whose incredible website and app lets you discover the news and pulls back the curtain on media bias built by a former NASA engineer on a mission to give readers an easy datadriven objective way to read the news with ground news ingesting over 50,000 articles from all over the world and then organizing each by story for each and every story you can see the number of reporting sources where these sources lean on the political spectrum at an individual level and group level compare the headlines of each source and read each article all without ever leaving the app but one of the best parts of the app is their blind spot feed it presents you with stories and articles that haven't been reported on by one side of the aisle or the other helping you better break out of your media bubble and discover what those on the other side of the political spectrum are really saying ground News is such a useful tool for our current media landscape and I think an app like this will only become more essential as the media landscape continues to evolve if you're interested in everything that Ground News has to offer you can get 40% off the unlimited Access Vantage plan using the link in the description or by scanning the QR code this offer is only available here so make sure you go to ground.news/tlddr or click the link in the description to get started and support an independent news platform working to make the media landscape more transparent