Framework for Sino-American Relations Conference

Oct 16, 2024

Lecture Notes: Beyond Geopolitics - A New Framework for Sino-American Relations

Introduction

  • Conference held at Tsinghua University.
  • Aim: To build a new framework for Sino-American Relations.
  • Key participants: Tsinghua University, University of Chicago Beijing Center.

Key Speakers

Professor John Mearsheimer

  • Distinguished political science professor at the University of Chicago.
  • Known for works like "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" and "The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy".
  • Viewed as a foremost realist scholar in international politics.

Professor Yang Shui-Tang

  • Dean of the Institute of Modern International Relations at Tsinghua University.
  • Chief editor of the Chinese Journal of International Politics.
  • Leading scholar in international politics in China.

Central Question

  • Can China rise peacefully?
  • Considered the central question in international politics today.

Arguments and Theories

John Mearsheimer's Perspective

  • Main Argument: China cannot rise peacefully due to structural reasons in the international system.
  • Theory: Based on realism, focuses on states maximizing power in an anarchic world.
    • States aim to be regional hegemons and prevent others from becoming peer competitors.
  • Historical Context: Compares China’s rise to the historical behavior of the United States.
  • Predictions: Expects China to seek regional hegemony and push the US out of Asia.
    • Foresees intense security competition with potential for conflict.

Yang Shui-Tang's Perspective

  • Common Ground with Mearsheimer: Agrees on basic assumptions about state behavior and security dilemmas.
  • Differences:
    • Believes in alternative strategies for China to rise without conflict.
  • China's Strategy: Emphasis on economic cooperation and neighborhood diplomacy.
    • Promotes the concept of "Fate Community" and moral realism over offensive realism.
  • Role of Morality: Suggests China's rise involves different moral values and strategies compared to the West.

Discussion Points

  • Security and Power:
    • Mearsheimer stresses the importance of maximizing power for security.
    • Yang emphasizes economic strategies and regional cooperation.
  • Potential for Conflict:
    • Mearsheimer predicts inevitable conflict and intense competition.
    • Yang hopes for reduced conflicts through economic interdependence and strategic diplomacy.

Conclusion

  • Both speakers agree on the potential for intense competition but differ on the likelihood and nature of conflict.
  • Nuclear weapons and globalization are seen as mitigating factors for potential wars.
  • The debate highlights contrasting views on the role of morality and economic power in international relations.