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Market Trends and Retail Investor Strategies

Dec 6, 2024

Market Shift and Retail Investors

  • Retail investors fully returned to the market.
  • Legacy coins like XRP, Cardano, Stellar, Polkadot, Tezos, Sandbox, Decentraland, Algorand top performers over the past two weeks.
  • Crypto natives are trading meme coins on Solana.
  • Expectation of major liquidity wave into mainstream coins from everyday investors.

Identifying Mainstream Coins

  • Presenter: Dennis, a crypto angel investor with six years of experience.
  • Focus on market trends and investing strategies in crypto.

Market Split

  • Crypto Twitter focuses on meme coins.
  • Retail investors are investing in legacy coins not popular on Crypto Twitter.

Liquidity Inflow

  • Example: Stellar Lumens saw $10 billion market cap inflow in past 18 days.
  • Retail liquidity is moving away from meme coins.

Criteria for Identifying Coins

  1. Top 100 Coins: People start from the top list.
  2. Popular Narratives: Layer 1, AI, and Gaming.
  3. Retail App Listings: Coins listed on apps like Coinbase, Robinhood.
  4. Low Unit Bias: Preference for lower-priced coins.
  5. Potential Gain to All-Time High: Looking for large potential gains.
  6. Centralized Exchange Listings: Retail prefers centralized exchanges.
  7. English-Speaking Appeal: Names that appeal to English-speaking audience.
  8. Popularity in 2021 Bull Cycle: Coins that were popular in the last cycle.
  9. First Mover Narratives: Coins with strong narrative positions.

Strategy and Tool Usage

  • Use Live Coin Watch for tracking potential gains and exchange listings.
  • Focus on coins offered on Robinhood as they target US retail investors.

Layer 1 Picks

  • AVAX: Checks all criteria boxes.
  • Polkadot: High retail appeal despite fundamentals.
  • Phantom: Likely to catch bid after AVAX, Polkadot.

Gaming Picks

  • Immutable X, Decentraland, Sandbox, Axie Infinity: Known from 2021 hype.
  • Gala: Popular in 2021 as decentralized gaming platform.

AI and Decentralized Computing Picks

  • Render, The Graph, Helium, Filecoin, ICP: Fits decentralized computing narrative.
  • Chainlink: Has loyal fan base, potential for retail interest.

Meme Coins and Base Ecosystem

  • Brett: Main meme coin on base, potential for repricing.

Community Engagement

  • Join VirtualBacon on X for quick updates.
  • Participate in The Coiners community for insights and alpha.