Probability Theory Mock Quiz Recap

Jul 3, 2024

Mock Cup Quiz 1

First Question: Joint Probability Mass Function (PMF)

  • Asked: Are X and Y independent?
  • Condition: f(X,Y) = f(X) * f(Y)
  • Process:
    • Find all marginals of X and Y.
    • If for all elements, f(X,Y) = f(X) * f(Y), then X and Y are independent.
  • Conclusion: By checking a single element, it was found that they are not independent.

Second Question: Find the value of P(X+Y = 3)

  • Table: Values of X and Y, range 1 and 2
  • Possible cases:
    1. X = 1, Y = 2
    2. X = 2, Y = 1
  • Process and Result:
    • Added P(1,2) and P(2,1)
    • Answer: 0.625

Third Question: Probability (P) of Max(X, Y) < 2

  • Condition: Max(X,Y) < 2
  • Possible events:
    1. X < 2 and Y < 2
    2. X = 2 and Y < 2
    3. X < 2 and Y = 2
  • Answer: Added all probabilities, answer = 1 (since all possibilities were added).

Fourth Question: Normal Distribution

  • Given: μ = 0, σ² = 1 (Standard Normal)
  • Asked: P(X < -2)
  • Conclusion: Since normal distribution is symmetric, P(X > 2) = 0.1
  • Answer: 0.8 (area between -2 and 2)

Fifth Question: Expected Trials to Get Same Value on Both Dice

  • Success probability: 1/6
  • Failure probability: 5/6
  • Geometric distribution: E(X) = 1/p
  • Answer: 6

Sixth Question: Discrete to Continuous Variable

  • Given: F(x)
  • Asked: Find values for continuous variables
  • Solving and Final result:
    • Increment the range, probability values
    • Result: Correct answer based on interpretations and range

Seventh Question: Exponential Distribution

  • Given: E(X) = 20
  • Lambda value: 1/20
  • Asked: P(X < 15)
  • Process: 1 - e^(-λx) which is 1 - e^(-15/20)
  • Answer: 0.53

Eighth Question: Player Rolls Two Dice

  • Given: Rules of points
  • Asked: Expected earnings
  • Answer: 15

Ninth Question: Geometric Distribution

  • Given: Binomial distribution
  • Asked: P(Y > 5 | X = 2)
  • Process: Used conditional probability
  • Answer: 0.031

Tenth Question: Height of Students

  • Given: μ and σ
  • Chebyshev’s inequality: k1/sqrt(k²-1)
  • Answer: 1/9

Eleventh Question: PDF of Discrete Variable

  • Given: Support and values
  • Found: Range (Support)
  • Correct answer: 0 < x < 1

Twelfth Question: Bernoulli Trials

  • Given: X1 to X10, p = 1/4
  • Asked: P(X1=0 | Y=8)
  • Sum (y = 8): Binomial
  • Answer: 0.2